2025 state government trifecta vulnerability ratings show New Jersey somewhat vulnerable, Virginia trifecta possible

NewJersey’sDemocraticstategovernmenttrifectaissomewhatvulnerablein2025,andanewDemocratictrifectainVirginiaisamoderatepossibilityaccordingtoBallotpedia’s2025trifectavulnerabilityratings. Astategovernmenttrifectaoccurswhenonepartyholdsthegovernorshipandmajoritiesinbothstatelegislativechambers.Ballotpedia’sannualtrifectavulnerabilityratingsestimatethechancesoftrifectasbreakingandforming.OurassessmentofgubernatorialracesisbasedonraceratingsfromtheCookPoliticalReport,Sabato’sCrystalBall,andInsideElections.Forlegislativeraces,Ballotpediausestheabsolutenumberofseatsandtheproportionofseatsthatwouldneedtochangecontrol.Bothchambersinastate’slegislatureareevaluatedindividually. VulnerabletrifectaNewJerseyisnotholdingelectionsforstateSenate,butisholdingelectionsforall80seatsinthestateHouseandforthegovernor’soffice.IfRepublicansgain13seatsintheHouseorwint