The most important poll in Virginia last week wasn’t about the governor’s race

Roanoke College came out with a poll last week that flashes a big red warning sign for Republicans. 

Not the political poll that showed Democrat Abigail Spanberger leading Republican Winsome Earle-Sears by 15 percentage points in the governor’s race. That’s not exactly good news for Republicans, but we’re still more than eight months out from the election, and I’d expect the numbers to be pretty volatile this early on. There’s plenty of time to turn those numbers around, although Earle-Sears’ ability to do so may depend on a lot of factors beyond her control.